Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.040470 2.333056 2.654041 3.032524 3.466904 3.950202 4.529229
2025-07-27 1.621782 2.024031 2.506294 3.128088 3.910153 4.863341 6.116646
2025-08-03 1.357419 1.798055 2.359288 3.128581 4.159094 5.496757 7.373033
2025-08-10 1.166109 1.621233 2.230172 3.107667 4.345426 6.037517 8.541049
2025-08-17 1.011057 1.465337 2.099440 3.053504 4.460779 6.473039 9.591907
2025-08-24 0.918418 1.381774 2.053679 3.104799 4.719228 7.123747 11.011586
2025-08-31 0.841912 1.310502 2.014011 3.154457 4.972151 7.782570 12.506998
2025-09-07 0.760846 1.221707 1.935944 3.132199 5.104804 8.261553 13.762196
2025-09-14 0.683958 1.130288 1.842656 3.072478 5.165588 8.624323 14.856696
2025-09-21 0.622828 1.057528 1.770841 3.038049 5.260305 9.045770 16.087707
2025-09-28 0.567692 0.988820 1.698166 2.992857 5.328507 9.423393 17.274948
2025-10-05 0.555535 0.992566 1.748147 3.164992 5.794480 10.539583 19.918705
2025-10-12 0.511106 0.938970 1.700145 3.170464 5.985586 11.229894 21.949627
2025-10-19 0.483146 0.913198 1.700942 3.269525 6.370377 12.338973 24.968518
2025-10-26 0.445545 0.864723 1.653738 3.270084 6.562408 13.096778 27.380158
2025-11-02 0.409639 0.815298 1.598902 3.248192 6.704981 13.769840 29.701373
2025-11-09 0.373968 0.762299 1.531117 3.191503 6.767630 14.283820 31.745849
2025-11-16 0.353505 0.737851 1.517584 3.245190 7.068328 15.330972 35.107197
2025-11-23 0.334722 0.714789 1.504225 3.297166 7.370432 16.415119 38.698671
2025-11-30 0.310922 0.678444 1.459017 3.273869 7.500835 17.131100 41.519612
2025-12-07 0.286165 0.637409 1.399446 3.211361 7.533299 17.625576 43.869195
2025-12-14 0.265857 0.604205 1.353694 3.175327 7.623226 18.264032 46.663547
2025-12-21 0.246581 0.571389 1.305487 3.128029 7.680105 18.828830 49.346175